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ECONOMICS INTERACTIONS WITH OTHER DISCPLINES - Engineering Economics - Thomas O. Boucher
ENGINEERING ECONOMICS
Thomas O. Boucher
Department of Industrial & Systems Engineering, Rutgers University, USA
Keywords: Capital budgeting, technology selection, productivity and technical change,
cost estimation, cost-benefit analysis, public sector projects, risk and uncertainty,
sustainable systems.
Contents
1. Introduction - Engineering, Economics and Society
2. Principles of Engineering Project Evaluation
3. Overview of Typical Capital Budgeting Problem Types
4. Cost-Benefit Analysis and Public Sector Projects
5. Considering Uncertainty in the Estimates of Cash Flows
6. Judgmental and Irreducible Factors in Engineering Project Analysis
7. Engineering Economics and Sustainable Systems
Glossary
Bibliography
Biographical Sketch
Summary
Engineering Economics is the application of economic principles to the evaluation of
engineering design and the selection of technical alternatives in engineering projects.
Key decision making tools for evaluating the economics of engineering projects were
originated by two 19th century professional engineers: Arthur Wellington in the railroad
industry and Jules Dupuis in public sector civil engineering projects. Their original
works have been extended and augmented over the years by engineers and economists
and are widely applied today to justify the financial and economic efficacy of
engineering projects.
Engineers apply science and technology in designing products and processes. Through
innovation, research and development, and engineering design, an array of new
technologies become available to society over time. Some of these technologies will be
used and some will not. Understanding the economic characteristics of a technology
and its costs is what distinguishes engineering economics from other branches of
economics and finance.
Engineers working in the private economy select the combination of product designs,
fabrication materials, and manufacturing process technologies that will minimize cost
while achieving the desired product quality and price necessary to insure the anticipated
product demand. Through this process of cost minimization, profits are maximized and
the economic decision making process is consistent with the firm’s fiduciary
responsibility of providing maximum financial return to the stockholder. Engineers
working in the public sector are faced with a more complex situation. They are usually
required to account for the benefits that will accrue to the community as a whole as a
©Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems (EOLSS)
ECONOMICS INTERACTIONS WITH OTHER DISCPLINES - Engineering Economics - Thomas O. Boucher
result of the proposed project. They must also account for social costs, such as
environmental damage, that may occur as a result of undertaking the proposed project.
This commonly occurs in the work of civil engineers. This chapter describes the
problems faced by engineers making economic decisions in private industry and in the
public sector and illustrates the analytical frameworks used.
1. Introduction - Engineering, Economics and Society
The engineer is a designer and a builder. The engineer applies science and technology
in order to design products and systems that are useful to society. Typical examples are
the design of a new machine, the selection of a technology for the design of a
manufacturing process, the design of a system to capture usable energy from a natural
energy source, and the design of an algorithm for a software product.
Usually engineers work for industrial firms and the firms wish to sell these designs,
products, and technical solutions to their customers. The firm is the institutional linkage
between the problem solving done by the engineers and having it fulfill social needs
through the mechanism of the marketplace. This leads us to a general definition of
engineering. An engineer is a person who applies science and technology in designing
products and processes to address social needs. It is the last part of this definition,
“…to address social needs” that links engineering to economics.
Economics is often defined simply as the study of how humans use scarce resources to
produce various commodities and distribute them to members of the society for their
consumption. The engineer is a primary actor in finding the best way to “…use scarce
resources to produce various commodities…” In particular it is the engineers’ goal to
use resources of lesser economic value in order to produce products and systems of
greater economic value.
Neoclassical economists have shown that the only observable measure of “value” is
price. The price (value) of a commodity or a product results from the interaction of
supply and demand for that commodity. The marketplace distributes resources and
goods based on the “implied social value” indicated by the price. Engineers, through
design and manufacture, convert commodities and resources of lower price (value) to
products of higher price (value). Thus, for example, silicon (sand) is transformed
through manufacturing processes to obtain a computer chip, which is worth much more
than the input material (sand) and the power consumption and machinery usage that
goes into producing it. If an engineering design converts resources and commodities of
higher value into a product or system of lower value, it is a failure of engineering.
Engineering economics is closely linked to the underlying principles of
microeconomics. Microeconomics is the study of economic units, such as firms,
households, and consumers determining value through buying and selling in the
marketplace. The “market” is the arbiter of value through its price setting role and the
engineer must respect price signals to ensure that the proposed design or manufacturing
process provides an increase in value to the society. When the engineer is working
outside of the normal influence of the marketplace, it is more difficult to objectively
judge his or her success. For example, engineers work in the public sector on
©Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems (EOLSS)
ECONOMICS INTERACTIONS WITH OTHER DISCPLINES - Engineering Economics - Thomas O. Boucher
infrastructure programs, in military contractor industries, and for government labs. In
these cases there is no social marketplace for buying and selling the new designs and
products. In the public sector, the output of the engineer’s work may be a specification
for a public transportation system, a levee or water control system, or a fighter aircraft,
among others. There is no readily available market pricing to determine the value of the
output. Contrast this with designing and building a new oil drilling platform. In this
latter case the value of the design can be estimated directly from the price of oil and the
increase in yield or higher pumping rate of the new design. It is more difficult to assess
the economic value that flows from the public transportation system (will the public use
it?) or the effectiveness of a new fighter aircraft design (what is its value to society?). In
effect, it is more difficult for the engineer to know that the output of his/her effort will
be of greater social value than the input. In these cases the practicing engineer will focus
on the minimal cost safe design that achieves the functional specifications of the product
or system. When possible, engineers and government planners may attempt to estimate
the social benefit using artificial, market-like pricing schemes. These will be discussed
later in Section 4.
The process of converting inputs to outputs just described is not simply a matter of
assembling resources and combining them in known ways to create an output.
Engineers, along with their physics and mathematics colleagues, are engaged in creating
entirely new innovations through the process of research and development – a process
that leads to what is called “technical change.” Technology is broadly defined as
society’s sum total of knowledge about the industrial arts. This is a rather vague
definition since technology is not easy to measure using this definition. Technical
change, on the other hand, refers to an increase in the pool of technologies that are
being used by industry. This is easier to observe empirically. The existence of
technology does not insure its adoption by industry. Technical change takes
technology from the knowledge or prototype stage into the economic arena. If the
pricing mechanism of the marketplace and the investment decision processes are
working properly, a new technology will be used only if it is economic to do so.
A concept related to technical change is “productivity.” Industrial productivity is a
measure of the ratio of physical output produced to physical input used by a company or
industry. The most common measure of industrial productivity is labor productivity, or
output per employee hour. A high rate of labor productivity is associated with an
economy that produces more physical product per capita, or wealth per person, for the
members of its society. In fact, the primary way that an industrial or agricultural
economy can increase the aggregate level of wealth for its citizens is by increasing
aggregate productivity.
High rates of industrial productivity are associated with high rates of technical change.
Several studies by economists have tried to measure the underlying forces that increase
industrial productivity, measured as output per worker-hour. They have found that
increases in industrial productivity cannot be accounted for simply by the substitution of
more capital equipment for labor (referred to as “capital deepening”). Researchers have
found that a major part of the improvement in productivity comes from innovations in
methods of production and the “quality” of capital goods, generally referred to as
“technical change” (Solow, 1957; Boucher, 1981). This process of technical change is
©Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems (EOLSS)
ECONOMICS INTERACTIONS WITH OTHER DISCPLINES - Engineering Economics - Thomas O. Boucher
not a linear process and it is subject at all points along the way to an economic test,
which is administered by engineers and managers working in their particular industries.
An example of the complexity of technical change and its relationship to productivity is
illustrated in Box 1a.
Box 1a illustrates many aspects of how technical change works its way through the
economy. A new material which was invented for the light bulb industry in Germany in
the 1920s, tungsten-carbide, was adapted in a novel alloy, tungsten-titanium carbide, for
the design of cutting tools that could replace high speed steel in metalworking. The new
material was thought to be capable of cutting metals at much higher speeds than existing
cutting tools. However, these cutting tools would not be very productive when used in
existing machinery due to the inability to operate the existing machines at higher speeds
while maintaining tolerance precision. This led to new machine designs with the
capability of running two to three times as fast as existing machines without vibration.
These machines started to become available in the 1940s and were adopted widely by
industry following World War II. Subsequently, throughout the 1950s and 60s, the rate
of productivity in metalworking industries rose mostly due to technical change, which
began with the development of tungsten-carbide material in the 1920s. At each step in
the process described in Box 1a, there is an opportunity for an economic assessment of
an investment. The metallurgists and technical mangers working for Osram, the
German light bulb company, had to consider the investment of R&D resources and the
likelihood of a successful outcome in trying to replace diamond drawing tools with a
new, less expensive material. When Phillip McKenna created an alloy of tungsten
carbide that could machine metals at high speeds, the potential market for this new
technology had to be evaluated before launching a new company based on it. Similarly,
machine tool builders had to assess the economics of redesigning their equipment to
accommodate the new cutting tool technology. Finally, engineers in the metalworking
industry (fabricated metal products, transportation equipment, machinery manufacture,
and instruments) were responsible for computing the economic advantage of replacing
existing production equipment with these newer machines. From research and
development, through product design, through adoption of new technology in
manufacturing processes, economics plays a key role in the decision process. Along
this continuum there are engineers, scientists and technical mangers who must address
the economics of these decisions. This is the fundamental purpose of engineering
economics. It should be pointed out that increasing productivity is not the direct
objective of the engineering economic decision process. It is a derived effect. The
engineering economic decision process will substitute newer technologies for older
technologies only when the former can be justified economically. For example, a
computer controlled machine tool will displace a semi-automatic machine tool only if it
is more cost effective for the given application. As newer, more efficient technologies
prove themselves economically and displace older equipment, output will naturally
increase in relation to the amount of labor used, thus creating an increase in labor
productivity. The increase in productivity is a derived effect from the economic
decision-making process that chooses among technological alternatives based on the
criterion of the minimization of combined capital and operating costs. This is the
decision making process governed by the principles of engineering economics. The
origins and methods of this decision making process will be described in Section 2.
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