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ADBI Working Paper Series
A SKEPTICAL NOTE ON THE ROLE
OF CONSTANT ELASTICITY OF
SUBSTITUTION IN LABOR INCOME
SHARE DYNAMICS
Saumik Paul
No. 944
April 2019
Asian Development Bank Institute
Saumik Paul is a research economist at the Asian Development Bank Institute in Tokyo,
Japan.
The views expressed in this paper are the views of the author and do not necessarily reflect
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Suggested citation:
Paul, S. 2019. A Skeptical Note on the Role of Constant Elasticity of Substitution
in Labor Income Share Dynamics. ADBI Working Paper 944. Tokyo: Asian Development Bank
Institute. Available: https://www.adb.org/publications/skeptical-note-role-constant-elasticity-
substitution-labor-income-share-dynamics
Please contact the author for information about this paper.
Email: paulsaumik@gmail.com
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© 2019 Asian Development Bank Institute
ADBI Working Paper 944 Paul
Abstract
The constancy of the elasticity of factor substitution (σ) makes its role as a driver of the labor
income share exogenous. The constant elasticity of substitution (CES) (Arrow et al., 1961)
production function has predominantly been used to support this causal relationship. This
paper argues that (i) capital-labor ratio determines the value of σ, and (ii) both capital-labor
ratio and σ vary over time. I use a variable elasticity of substitution (VES) production
framework that allows both labor income share and σ to change over time. Statistically
significant empirical support is provided using the Japanese industrial productivity (JIP) data.
This suggests that the CES model may not be an ideal choice to examine the factor income
share dynamics.
Keywords: substitution elasticity, labor income share, production function parameters
JEL Classification: E21, E22, E25
ADBI Working Paper 944 Paul
Contents
1. INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................... 1
2. A BRIEF HISTORY OF THE EVOLUTION OF THE VES
PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS ...................................................................................... 4
3. EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS .............................................................................................. 6
3.1 Data and Descriptive Statistics ........................................................................ 6
3.2 Empirical Model ............................................................................................... 9
3.3 Empirical Outcomes ...................................................................................... 10
4. CONCLUSION .......................................................................................................... 13
REFERENCES ..................................................................................................................... 15
APPENDIX 1 ......................................................................................................................... 18
APPENDIX 2: SECTORAL LABOR INCOME SHARES ....................................................... 21
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