310x Filetype PPT File size 0.18 MB Source: mfin.gov.hr
Structure of Presentation
1. Introduction.
2. Current Situation.
3. New Economic Requirements.
4. National Experience.
5. Possible consequences for candidate
and potential candidate countries.
2
Introduction
Crisis exposed gaps in the current
governance system.
Crisis showed that economic policy
coordination needs to be enhanced.
Macroeconomic imbalances – high
current a/c deficits, competitiveness
problems, public finance sustainability
issues.
Existing framework focused more on
budget deficits than on public debt
and/or other sustainability indicators.
3
Current Situation
Large fiscal imbalances (deficit and debt).
Competitiveness gaps between north
and south.
Asset price bubbles.
Banking sector - overheating – private
sector loans – nationalization of private
debt.
Absence of a credible financial crisis
management mechanism.
4
Current Situation
Revenue windfalls in good economic times
not sufficiently used to create fiscal space
for bad times.
Assessment of budgetary policies in
cyclically- adjusted terms surrounded by a
large degree of uncertainty.
Existing sanctions for non - compliance
come late in surveillance process, when
degree of deterrence is weak or lost.
Surveillance of government deficits not
sufficient to ensure decline in debt – to - GDP
ratios.
5
New Economic
Requirements
Close to finalizing a comprehensive and
coherent package of reforms that will
strengthen the SGP further.
Increased focus on public debt and fiscal
sustainability.
Surveillance of macroeconomic imbalances-
divergence in competitiveness among the
euro area (EU 27).
National fiscal frameworks to be strengthened
and aligned with the EU’s new economic
governance rules.
6
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