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FANDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Fundamental analysis is a method that attempts to predict the
intrinsic value or True value of an investment.
Fundamental Analysis is based on the theory that the market price of
an asset tends to move towards its 'real value' or 'intrinsic value’.
In fundamental analysis an investor makes an attempt to study
everything that can affect the share price.
Investor can look for information about the economy, industry and
the company so that he can find a right security to invest in.
The ultimate aim of doing fundamental analysis is to find a value that
an investor can compare with the security’s current price and on
basis of his comparison he finally decides whether to buy an
underpriced security or to sell an overpriced security.
WHY TO STUDY FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Before understanding about how to do fundamental analysis one should
understand why he should do fundamental analysis. The answer to this
question lies in the fact the all of us are rational consumers.
We want more satisfaction for every rupee spent.
Everyone wants to maximize his benefit.
For an example many times when we are at a shop to buy a product we often
say to the shopkeeper to tell us the final price of the product at which he is
ready to sell as the price told by him earlier are not according to the worth of
the product for us.
The same concept applies here. When we buy a share we are offered with
various shares from various companies. Here again the question arises that
whether the market price of share is a true reflector of its actual worth or not.
Thus fundamental analysis helps hereby doing fundamental analysis one can
calculate the intrinsic value of
3 LEVEL OF FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Thus the factors that affect a company can be broadly classified as:-
Economic factors like rate of growth of the economy, exchange
rates etc.
Industry factors like demand and supply in the industry,
competitors in the
industry etc.
Company related factors like image of the company and its
managers, Fundamental Analysis involves
profitability etc. the following three analysis
1) Economic
Analysis,
2) Industry Analysis,
3) Company Analysis.
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Economic Analysis relates to the analysis of the economy.
This related to study about the economy in details and
analysis whether economic conditions are favourable for
the companies to prosper or not.
Analysts always try to find out whether the economic
development is conducive for the growth of the company.
An investor in a security market can give prediction about
the future of share price of a company on the basis of the
study of forces affecting economic environment of the
country.
Take an example of Indian economy, when India is increasing its
goodwill and building a positive identity internationally it has
led to an increase in investors’ confidence in the economy and
in industries.
FACTORS OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
For the Economic Analysis, the Macro Economic Factors
are studied to know about the condition of an economy or
performance of the security market of any country.
Some points to be considered
GDP of the country Interest rates
Performance of security Supply and demand of money
market
Inflation rate Government borrowings and
loans
Taxation policy and rates Consumer and goods market
Foreign Direct Investment Balance of payments etc.
The economy is studied to determine if
overall conditions are good for the stock
market.
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