FIRST OECD ENVIRONMENTAL OUTLOOK
       • Released in 2001.
       • Analytical work to support development of the OECD 
        Environmental Strategy adopted by Ministers. 
       •  Identified key environmental pressures and issues to 2020 
        =>“red lights”. 
       • Focus = problem identification
        
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             OECD ENVIRONMENTAL OUTLOOK: 
                           TRAFFIC LIGHTS
    •                        •                      •
      Some air                 Water use              GHG emissions
    pollutants (lead,        •                      •
    CFCs, NOx, SOx)            Surface water           Motor vehicle & 
                             quality                aviation air pollution
    •                        •                      •
      Forest coverage in       Hazardous waste         Municipal waste 
    OECD regions             & toxic emissions      gen.
                             from industry
                                                    •
                                                       Agricultural 
                             •
                               Energy production  pollution & 
                             & use                  groundwater quality
                             •
                               Forest quality in    •
                                                       Over-fishing
                             OECD regions
                                                    •
                                                       Biodiversity & 
                             •
                              Waste management tropical forest 
                                                    coverage        3
                                        
                                                    •
                                                       Chemicals in the 
                                                    environment
            NEW OECD ENVIRONMENTAL OUTLOOK
        •    Requested by EPOC (Nov. 2003) and Environment Ministers 
             (April 2004).
        •    Analytical background report for next OECD Environment 
             Ministerial Meeting (2008). 
        •    Outlook of environmental pressures to 2030 (update of first 
             Outlook + some new issues).
        •    Substantial section on environmental policy simulations.  
        •    More in-depth assessment of environmental developments in non-
             OECD countries and impact of OECD policies on these.
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                    TIMETABLE 
     2004   - Strengthening of economic baseline assumptions      
            (eg. Workshop in June 2004).
     2005   - Finalise economic baseline; make connections to 
            environmental model(s).
            - Table of contents to EPOC for approval (April 2005).
     2006   - Run policy simulations.
            - Development of chapters (input from other OECD 
            bodies).
     2007   - Finalise report with EPOC.
            - Release 3Q 2007.
     2008   - Background to 2008 Environment Ministerial Meeting.
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                            SOME OTHER ISSUES 
         Regional breakdown           Around 30 “regions”, of which some           10 
                     non-OECD “regions”
         Special topics Urban air quality and the northern-              hemispheric 
                     circulation of air    pollution
         Country contributions Larger contributions from                 Norway, 
                     Netherlands, Japan, Korea
         Report coordination          UNEP’s GEO-4, EEA’s Belgrade 
                     Assessment coming out in Sept 2007. 
                     Data sharing, similar baselines. 
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